DIALOG – Fundamental Analysis (10 Feb 2015)

DIALOG Analysis:-

Excel – http://1drv.ms/1AdkOYd

Notes – http://tinyurl.com/nsvtjyj

My View:-

  • Valuation:
    • Absolute EY%:
      • Trailing:
        • FY14 (EPS: 0.044) – Fair value 1.49 (Fair Value Uncertainty: VERY HIGH)
        • R4Q (EPS: 0.047) – Fair value 1.6 (Fair Value Uncertainty: HIGH)
      • Forward:
        • FY15 (EPS: 0.048) – Fair value 1.63 (Fair Value Uncertainty: HIGH)
        • FY16 (EPS: 0.055) – Fair value 1.86 (Fair Value Uncertainty: HIGH)
      • EPS applied to reach the current stock price (1.7): 0.05
  • Based on the current price, DIALOG is fully valued.
  • I am bullish on the prospects of Pengerang as it expects the demand for storage facilities to increase.
  • With Phase 1, 2 and 3 projects in motion, the upcoming Pengerang tank terminal facilities (i.e. Phase 4, 5 etc) will kick into higher gear. Based on the combined storage design of Phase 1 & 3 (3.4m m3 capacity), expansion in capacity is accelerated. The Pengerang terminal can accommodate up to 8m m3 in storage capacity, based on its built design.

Latest Financial – Q2 2015 Financial Report (9 Feb 2015) http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/1871973

At the time of writing, I owned shares of DIALOG.


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